Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 200:30

21

Thursday, 30 July 2026

PlatenseDWLLD

Estadio Presidente Peron · Referee L. Lobo Medina · Analysis updated 05:18 UTC

Instituto Cordoba vs Platense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.72 for Platense, a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives Instituto Cordoba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Instituto Cordoba to Win

57.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Instituto Cordoba win58%
Draw25%
Platense win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 1–015.9%
  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–19.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Instituto Cordoba home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Platense away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Instituto Cordoba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.57 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.72 for Platense, a combined 2.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Instituto Cordoba

  • 2026-08-09T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia M. · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-03T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Lanus · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T00:30:00.000Z · H vs Platense · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-24T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Velez Sarsfield · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Lanus · 2-1 (W)

Platense

  • 2026-08-16T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Boca Juniors · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-12T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Coquimbo Unido · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Independiente · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-03T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Talleres Cordoba · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Instituto Cordoba · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
2Boca Juniors168621330
3Velez Sarsfield16772628
4Talleres Cordoba16754426
5Independiente16664424
6Lanus16664324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
2River Plate169251029
3Argentinos JRS16853429
4Rosario Central16844428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574422
8Racing Club16565221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
1Velez Sarsfield4310410
2Instituto Cordoba430129
3Newells Old Boys521217
4Defensa Y Justicia4211-17
5Estudiantes L.P.520326
6Lanus420226
7Deportivo Riestra520316
8Independiente420216
9Gimnasia M.420216
10Central Cordoba de Santiago4202-16
11Boca Juniors5131-26
12San Lorenzo5203-26
13Platense5122-45
14Union Santa Fe5113-34
15Talleres Cordoba4103-23
1Argentinos JRS4400612
2Belgrano Cordoba5311410
3Barracas Central430119
4Gimnasia L.P.5302-19
5Tigre522128
6Huracan421127
7Rosario Central421117
8Independ. Rivadavia5212-17
9Banfield5212-17
10Sarmiento Junin420206
11Atletico Tucuman412115
12Racing Club5113-34
13Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto4112-34
14Aldosivi5023-32
15River Plate4004-40

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.