Chase Stadium · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC
Inter Miami II vs New England II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Inter Miami II and 2.10 for New England II, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives New England II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.
Model pick
New England II to Win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
0.82 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.9%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–38.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates New England II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 14% / 20% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.82 goals for Inter Miami II and 2.10 for New England II, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 49%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
New England II to Win is the headline pick at 67% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Inter Miami II
New England II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
MLS Next Pro table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.