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23:00 UTC

Wednesday, 19 August 2026

Chase Stadium · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC

Inter Miami II vs New England II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Inter Miami II and 2.10 for New England II, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives New England II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

New England II to Win

66.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.82 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Inter Miami II win14%
Draw20%
New England II win67%

Double chance 1X

33%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

86%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 0–211.9%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–38.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates New England II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 14% / 20% / 67% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.82 goals for Inter Miami II and 2.10 for New England II, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 49%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    New England II to Win is the headline pick at 67% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Inter Miami II

    New England II

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      MLS Next Pro table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1New England II2114071042
      2Columbus Crew II211407439
      3New York RB II2312011738
      4Connecticut FC211209334
      5New York City II201109333
      6Toronto II2210012-530
      7Philadelphia Union II2210012-530
      8FC Cincinnati II216015-2316
      1Crown Legacy2217052448
      2Chattanooga2315081144
      3Chicago Fire II22120101136
      4Orlando City II2312011-135
      5Atlanta United II2210012934
      6Huntsville City229013-729
      7Carolina Core238015-826
      8Inter Miami II202018-338
      1Portland Timbers II221507445
      2Ventura County2214081741
      3Los Angeles FC II2111010135
      4Tacoma Defiance2211011-233
      5The Town20100101431
      6Real Monarchs2210012-1126
      7Vancouver Whitecaps II227015-2119
      1Austin II2116052549
      2Houston Dynamo FC II2116052445
      3St. Louis City II2212010135
      4Minnesota United II2210012-530
      5North Texas209011329
      6Sporting KC II216015-2619
      7Colorado Rapids II223019-2413
      1Crown Legacy2217052448
      2Chattanooga2315081144
      3New England II2114071042
      4Columbus Crew II211407439
      5New York RB II2312011738
      6Chicago Fire II22120101136
      7Orlando City II2312011-135
      8Atlanta United II2210012934
      9Connecticut FC211209334
      10New York City II201109333
      11Toronto II2210012-530
      12Philadelphia Union II2210012-530
      13Huntsville City229013-729
      14Carolina Core238015-826
      15FC Cincinnati II216015-2316
      16Inter Miami II202018-338
      1Austin II2116052549
      2Houston Dynamo FC II2116052445
      3Portland Timbers II221507445
      4Ventura County2214081741
      5St. Louis City II2212010135
      6Los Angeles FC II2111010135
      7Tacoma Defiance2211011-233
      8The Town20100101431
      9Minnesota United II2210012-530
      10North Texas209011329
      11Real Monarchs2210012-1126
      12Sporting KC II216015-2619
      13Vancouver Whitecaps II227015-2119
      14Colorado Rapids II223019-2413

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.