Italy · Campionato Primavera - 1 · Regular Season - 3613:00

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Saturday, 2 May 2026

KONAMI Youth Development Centre in Memory of Giacinto Facchetti · Analysis updated 06:10 UTC

Internazionale U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Internazionale U20 and 1.18 for Bologna U20, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Internazionale U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Internazionale U20 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Internazionale U20 win44%
Draw26%
Bologna U20 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Bologna U20 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Internazionale U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Internazionale U20 and 1.18 for Bologna U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Internazionale U20

    Bologna U20

    • 2026-05-24T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fiorentina U20 · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Roma U20 · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cremonese U20 · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Cagliari U20 · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-05-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Internazionale U20 · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.