· Analysis updated 02:22 UTC
jerv vs Vidar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.54 expected goals for jerv and 0.70 for Vidar, a combined total of 4.24. That distribution gives jerv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws roughly 12% of the time.
Model pick
jerv to Win
88.1% probability
Expected goals
3.54 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
12%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–010.7%
- 4–09.4%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–17.5%
- 5–06.7%
Why the model likes this
Vidar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates jerv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 88% / 8% / 4% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.54 goals for jerv and 0.70 for Vidar, a combined 4.24 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 48%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
jerv
Vidar
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arendal · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs jerv · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Halden · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.