Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 1711:00
KarlslundWDLDW

30

Saturday, 15 August 2026

HaningeLDWWW

· Analysis updated 02:35 UTC

Karlslund vs Haninge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Karlslund and 2.00 for Haninge, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Haninge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Haninge to Win

47.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.60 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Karlslund win31%
Draw22%
Haninge win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 1–35.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Haninge away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Haninge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 22% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Karlslund and 2.00 for Haninge, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 69%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Karlslund

    Haninge

    • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Forward1610331233
    2Nyköping1710251232
    3Haninge171025932
    4Sleipner17944231
    5Farsta179351630
    6Smedby179351130
    7Rågsved16754826
    8Fittja16727-123
    9Örebro Syrianska16529-217
    10Lindo FF175210-417
    11Karlslund17458-717
    12Syrianska FC16439-1315
    13Eker Örebro174211-2714
    14Nacka Iliria163211-1611

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.