· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
Karlsruhe II vs Essingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Karlsruhe II and 1.66 for Essingen, a combined total of 2.89. That distribution gives Essingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Essingen to Win
47.3% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–17.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Essingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 28% / 24% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Karlsruhe II and 1.66 for Essingen, a combined 2.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Essingen to Win is the headline pick at 47% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Karlsruhe II
Essingen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Reutlingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Essingen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | TSV Singen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Oberachern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC 08 Villingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahlinger SC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Nöttingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Teningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | CFR Pforzheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | FV Ravensburg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Holzhausen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Young Boys Reutlingen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Karlsruhe II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Türkspor Neckarsulm | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Normannia Gmünd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Balingen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.