Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Preliminary11:00

11:00 UTC

Wednesday, 19 August 2026

· Analysis updated 06:27 UTC

Karlsruher SC U19 vs Freiburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Karlsruher SC U19 and 1.18 for Freiburg U19, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Karlsruher SC U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Karlsruher SC U19 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Karlsruher SC U19 win44%
Draw26%
Freiburg U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Karlsruher SC U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Karlsruher SC U19 and 1.18 for Freiburg U19, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Karlsruher SC U19 or Draw is the headline pick at 70% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Karlsruher SC U19

    Freiburg U19

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      U19 Bundesliga table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Hamburger SV U191211102434
      2Hannover 96 U19128221826
      3Holstein Kiel U1912723623
      4St. Pauli U1912516216
      5Werder Bremen U1912237-119
      6Eintracht Braunsch U1912219-117
      7Blumenthaler SV U19122010-286
      1Hamburger SV U191211102434
      2Hannover 96 U19128221826
      3Holstein Kiel U1912723623
      4St. Pauli U1912516216
      5Werder Bremen U1912237-119
      6Eintracht Braunsch U1912219-117
      7Blumenthaler SV U19122010-286
      1RB Leipzig U191211013533
      2Wolfsburg U191211013233
      3Hansa Rostock U1912606518
      4Carl Zeiss Jena U1912507-315
      5Viktoria Berlin U1912507-2115
      6Hallescher FC U1912219-227
      7Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19121110-264
      1RB Leipzig U191211013533
      2Wolfsburg U191211013233
      3Hansa Rostock U1912606518
      4Carl Zeiss Jena U1912507-315
      5Viktoria Berlin U1912507-2115
      6Hallescher FC U1912219-227
      7Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19121110-264
      1Union Berlin U191412203138
      2Energie Cottbus U19149232129
      3BAK 07 U1914815-325
      4Hertha BSC U1914806724
      5Erzgebirge Aue U1914419-1713
      6Chemnitzer FC U19144010-1012
      7Dynamo Dresden U1913319-1710
      8Magdeburg U1913238-129
      1Union Berlin U191412203138
      2Energie Cottbus U19149232129
      3BAK 07 U1914815-325
      4Hertha BSC U1914806724
      5Erzgebirge Aue U1914419-1713
      6Magdeburg U1914338-712
      7Chemnitzer FC U19144010-1012
      8Dynamo Dresden U19143110-2210
      1Stuttgart U19129212829
      2Nürnberg U19127321224
      3Ingolstadt U19126151119
      4Eintracht Frankf U1912615219
      5Greuther Fürth U1912507-615
      6Jahn Regensburg U1912327-211
      7Kickers Offenbach U19121110-454
      1Stuttgart U19129212829
      2Nürnberg U19127321224
      3Ingolstadt U19126151119
      4Eintracht Frankf U1912615219
      5Greuther Fürth U1912507-615
      6Jahn Regensburg U1912327-211
      7Kickers Offenbach U19121110-454
      1Bayern München U19128131525
      2Augsburg U19126331221
      3Ulm U1912624920
      4Freiburg U1912615419
      51860 München U1912507-715
      6Unterhaching U1912336-1212
      7Stuttgarter K'rs U1912228-218
      1Bayern München U19128131525
      2Augsburg U19126331221
      3Ulm U1912624920
      4Freiburg U1912615419
      51860 München U1912507-715
      6Unterhaching U1912336-1212
      7Stuttgarter K'rs U1912228-218
      1Hoffenheim U19128312627
      2Heidenheim U19129031727
      3Kaiserslautern U1912804724
      4Darmstadt 98 U1912426-214
      5Sandhausen U1912408-1912
      6Karlsruher SC U1911317-710
      7Saarbrücken U1911128-225
      1Hoffenheim U19128312627
      2Heidenheim U19129031727
      3Kaiserslautern U1912804724
      4Darmstadt 98 U1912426-214
      5Sandhausen U1912408-1912
      6Karlsruher SC U1912318-810
      7Saarbrücken U1912228-218
      1Köln U19129212029
      2Mainz 05 U19128311727
      3Viktoria Köln U1912525617
      4Fortuna Düsseldorf U1912525317
      5MSV Duisburg U1912345-213
      6Alemannia Aachen U1912156-168
      7Elversberg U1912129-285
      1Köln U19129212029
      2Mainz 05 U19128311727
      3Viktoria Köln U1912525617
      4Fortuna Düsseldorf U1912525317
      5MSV Duisburg U1912345-213
      6Alemannia Aachen U1912156-168
      7Elversberg U1912129-285
      1Borussia Dortmund U19129212229
      2Bochum U19129031927
      3Bayer Leverkusen U19128223026
      4Wehen Wiesbaden U1912525017
      5Rot-Weiss Essen U1912327-211
      6FSV Frankfurt U1912228-168
      7Schott Mainz U19121011-533
      1Borussia Dortmund U19129212229
      2Bochum U19129031927
      3Bayer Leverkusen U19117222323
      4Wehen Wiesbaden U1912525017
      5Rot-Weiss Essen U1912327-211
      6FSV Frankfurt U1911227-98
      7Schott Mainz U19121011-533
      1Schalke 04 U191410221632
      2Borussia M'bach U19149231229
      3Paderborn U19147431625
      4RW Oberhausen U1914644-522
      5Preußen Münster U1914545519
      6Meppen U1914527-117
      7Arminia Bielefeld U1914239-169
      8Osnabrück U19141112-274
      1Schalke 04 U191410221632
      2Borussia M'bach U19149231229
      3Paderborn U19147431625
      4RW Oberhausen U1914644-522
      5Preußen Münster U1914545519
      6Meppen U1914527-117
      7Arminia Bielefeld U1914239-169
      8Osnabrück U19141112-274
      1Hoffenheim U1910523917
      2Mainz 05 U1910514616
      3Bayer Leverkusen U1910433415
      4Paderborn U1910424-214
      5Union Berlin U1910325-611
      6Nürnberg U1910325-1111
      1Babelsberg U191410223332
      2Hertha BSC U19149142328
      3Magdeburg U19149141628
      4Arminia Bielefeld U19149141528
      5Hallescher FC U1914446116
      6Lübeck U1914419-3813
      7Hansa Rostock U1914149-227
      8Blumenthaler SV U1914149-287
      1Wolfsburg U19108022424
      2Heidenheim U1910433215
      3Augsburg U1910505015
      4Schalke 04 U1910424214
      5Borussia Dortmund U1910424-114
      6Holstein Kiel U1910118-274
      1RB Leipzig U1910622520
      2Kaiserslautern U1910523517
      3Hannover 96 U1910523217
      4Bayern München U1910433815
      5Borussia M'bach U1910433415
      6BAK 07 U19100010-240
      1Köln U19106221720
      2Bochum U19106131719
      3Energie Cottbus U1910613-619
      4Hamburger SV U1910325-811
      5Ulm U1910226-178
      6Stuttgart U1910226-38
      1St. Pauli U19148602730
      2Havelse U19149231329
      3Chemnitzer FC U19148331527
      4Dynamo Dresden U1914725623
      5Eintracht Braunsch U1914347-1313
      6Viktoria Berlin U1914419-2013
      7SC Borea Dresden U1914257-911
      8Rot-Weiß Erfurt U1914239-199
      1Ingolstadt U191211012133
      2Carl Zeiss Jena U19129122228
      3Erzgebirge Aue U1912435015
      4Stuttgarter K'rs U1912417-513
      5Kickers Offenbach U1912336-812
      6Wacker Burghausen U1912327-1511
      7Unterhaching U1912228-158
      11860 München U19126421222
      2Freiburg U1912615319
      3Karlsruher SC U1912534218
      4SGV Freiberg Fussball U1912534018
      5Rot-Weiß Walldorf U1912516-616
      6Eintracht Frankf U1912435115
      7Jahn Regensburg U1912237-129
      1Wehen Wiesbaden U19129122028
      2Sandhausen U1912705821
      3Greuther Fürth U1912624-120
      4Saarbrücken U1912525-417
      5FK Pirmasens U1912435-215
      6Schott Mainz U1912327-611
      7Elversberg U1912228-158
      1MSV Duisburg U19127321724
      2Viktoria Köln U1912723623
      3Fortuna Köln U1911623220
      4RW Oberhausen U1912525-417
      5FSV Frankfurt U1912417-413
      6Darmstadt 98 U1911236-89
      7Osnabrück U1912237-99
      1Fortuna Düsseldorf U191411031933
      2Preußen Münster U19148511429
      3Werder Bremen U1914707221
      4Alemannia Aachen U1914635221
      5Rot-Weiss Essen U1914527-417
      6Hombrucher SV U1914527-417
      7Meppen U1914518-116
      8SG Unterrath U19141310-286

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.