Torsvollur · Referee I. Pajac · Analysis updated 20:39 UTC
KI Klaksvik vs Lech Poznan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.91 expected goals for KI Klaksvik and 1.94 for Lech Poznan, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Lech Poznan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.
Model pick
Lech Poznan to Win
61.5% probability
Expected goals
0.91 – 1.94
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.2%
- 0–210.9%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–37.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lech Poznan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 17% / 22% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.91 goals for KI Klaksvik and 1.94 for Lech Poznan, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 51%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Lech Poznan to Win is the headline pick at 62% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 5.70 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 4.10 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 1.54 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 4.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.42 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 10.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 5.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.15 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.75 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 1.93 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 2.40 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.18 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.13 | 10Bet |
Recent form
KI Klaksvik
Lech Poznan
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.