Kidderminster Harriers vs Aldershot Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.12 for Aldershot Town, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Aldershot Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws roughly 64% of the time.

Model pick

Aldershot Town or Draw

64.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.12

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kidderminster Harriers win35%

Draw29%

Aldershot Town win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals65%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

1–113.4%
0–112.2%
1–012.0%
0–010.9%
1–27.5%

Why the model likes this

Kidderminster Harriers home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aldershot Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 35% / 29% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.12 for Aldershot Town, a combined 2.22 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 38% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Kidderminster Harriers

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eastleigh · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs AFC Hornchurch · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stourbridge · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Alvechurch · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stratford Town · 5-0 (W)

Aldershot Town

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	3	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	2	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	2	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Boston United	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	0	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Aldershot Town	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Kidderminster Harriers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Yeovil Town	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	FC Halifax Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.