Sweden · Elitettan · Regular Season - 1911:00

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Göteborg WWWDDW

Behrn Arena · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC

KIF Örebro W vs Göteborg W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for KIF Örebro W and 1.91 for Göteborg W, a combined total of 3.52. That distribution gives Göteborg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Göteborg W to Win

45.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

KIF Örebro W win33%
Draw22%
Göteborg W win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–15.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Göteborg W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Göteborg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 33% / 22% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.61 goals for KIF Örebro W and 1.91 for Göteborg W, a combined 3.52 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 68%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

KIF Örebro W

    Göteborg W

    • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken W · 6-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Uddevalla W · 5-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs KIF Örebro W · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå W · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Husqvarna W · 4-4 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Elitettan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Elfsborg W1410402634
    2Linköping W1410311533
    3Göteborg W149412331
    4KIF Örebro W1410131131
    5Umeå W14635421
    6Trelleborg W13634221
    7Enskede W14536-218
    8Örebro SK W14536-318
    9Jitex W14536-418
    10Husqvarna W14446-516
    11Alingsås W14257-1011
    12Gamla Upsala W13247-910
    13Sandviken W141310-286
    14Häcken II W140113-201

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.