Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1712:00

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Kristianstad Arena · Analysis updated 02:49 UTC

Kristianstad W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Kristianstad W and 1.40 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives Kristianstad W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Kristianstad W to Win

59.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.37 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kristianstad W win59%
Draw19%
Brommapojkarna W win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–06.4%
  • 2–26.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Brommapojkarna W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kristianstad W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.37 goals for Kristianstad W and 1.40 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined 3.78 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Kristianstad W

    Brommapojkarna W

    • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-6 (L)
    • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Växjö W · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-06-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.