Kumla vs Tord Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Kumla and 1.07 for Tord, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Kumla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Kumla or Draw

70.9% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kumla win44%

Draw27%

Tord win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score49%

Correct score

1–112.7%
1–011.9%
0–19.2%
2–18.8%
0–08.6%

Why the model likes this

Tord away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kumla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 27% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Kumla and 1.07 for Tord, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Kumla

Tord

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Norra Götaland table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Husqvarna	17	14	3	0	28	45
2	Skara	17	11	4	2	15	37
3	IFK Skövde	17	9	4	4	11	31
4	Ahlafors	17	8	6	3	16	30
5	Grebbestad	17	9	2	6	6	29
6	Stenungsund	17	7	4	6	9	25
7	Herrestads	17	6	6	5	-1	24
8	Motala	17	5	5	7	0	20
9	Kumla	17	5	5	7	-7	20
10	Vänersborgs FK	16	4	4	8	-11	16
11	Tord	17	1	9	7	-10	12
12	Lidköping	16	3	3	10	-18	12
13	IF Karlstad II	16	2	4	10	-13	10
14	Vänersborgs IF	16	2	3	11	-25	9

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.