Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 808:15
Kuřim

08:15 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:51 UTC

Kuřim vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Kuřim and 1.25 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined total of 4.50. That distribution gives Kuřim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 76%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 76% favourite still loses or draws roughly 24% of the time.

Model pick

Kuřim to Win

76.0% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.25 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kuřim win76%
Draw13%
Ždírec nad Doubravou win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

24%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 4–16.5%
  • 3–06.4%
  • 2–05.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Kuřim home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ždírec nad Doubravou away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kuřim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 76%, against 76% / 13% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.25 goals for Kuřim and 1.25 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined 4.50 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Kuřim

  • 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Znojmo · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Prostějov · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Chotebor · 8-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ždírec nad Doubravou · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ráječko · 3-3 (D)

Ždírec nad Doubravou

  • 2026-08-15T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Znojmo · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.