Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 817:30

17:30 UTC

Friday, 25 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:27 UTC

Lausanne Sport II vs Echallens Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Lausanne Sport II and 1.61 for Echallens, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Echallens the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Echallens or Draw

64.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lausanne Sport II win36%
Draw24%
Echallens win41%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 1–06.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Echallens away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Echallens to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 36% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Lausanne Sport II and 1.61 for Echallens, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Lausanne Sport II

    Echallens

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Servette II · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-22T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bavois · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 5-6 (L)
    • 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 0-4 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.