World · UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round17:00

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Thursday, 6 August 2026

Stadion Poznan · Referee O. Grinfeld · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC

Lech Poznan vs KI Klaksvik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Lech Poznan and 1.18 for KI Klaksvik, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Lech Poznan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Lech Poznan or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lech Poznan win44%
Draw26%
KI Klaksvik win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Lech Poznan home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • KI Klaksvik away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Lech Poznan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.18 for KI Klaksvik, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Lech Poznan

  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Piast Gliwice · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Wieczysta Kraków · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 0-3 (L)

KI Klaksvik

  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznan · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-10T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lech Poznan · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kauno Žalgiris · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.