· Analysis updated 03:00 UTC
Legia Warszawa II vs Podhale Nowy Targ Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.59 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.44 for Podhale Nowy Targ, a combined total of 4.02. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Legia Warszawa II to Win
62.2% probability
Expected goals
2.59 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.4%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–06.0%
Why the model likes this
Legia Warszawa II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 18% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.59 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.44 for Podhale Nowy Targ, a combined 4.02 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Legia Warszawa II
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)
Podhale Nowy Targ
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
II Liga - East table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Świdnik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Znicz Pruszków | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Hutnik Kraków | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Sokół Kleczew | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Legia Warszawa II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Resovia Rzeszów | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 | Świt Skolwin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.