Lippstadt 08 vs Verl II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Lippstadt 08 and 1.18 for Verl II, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Lippstadt 08 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Lippstadt 08 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lippstadt 08 win44%

Draw26%

Verl II win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Lippstadt 08 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Lippstadt 08 and 1.18 for Verl II, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Lippstadt 08 or Draw is the headline pick at 70% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Lippstadt 08

Verl II

Head-to-head

2026-03-29T13:00:00.000Z · Lippstadt 08 1-0 Verl II (Oberliga - Westfalen)
2025-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Lippstadt 08 2-1 Verl II (Oberliga - Westfalen)
2025-03-09T14:00:00.000Z · Lippstadt 08 0-1 Verl II (Oberliga - Westfalen)
2024-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · Lippstadt 08 0-2 Verl II (Oberliga - Westfalen)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.