Madla vs Vindbjart Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.94 expected goals for Madla and 1.78 for Vindbjart, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives Madla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Madla or Draw

63.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Madla win42%

Draw22%

Vindbjart win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–18.4%
2–18.1%
1–27.5%
2–27.2%
3–15.2%

Why the model likes this

Vindbjart away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Madla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 22% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.94 goals for Madla and 1.78 for Vindbjart, a combined 3.72 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Madla

Vindbjart

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Åkra · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 3-4 (L)
2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Odd II · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hinna · 7-0 (W)
2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 4 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Madla	15	9	4	2	16	31
2	Vindbjart	16	9	2	5	20	29
3	Flekkerøy	16	9	2	5	8	29
4	Mandalskameratene	16	8	4	4	10	28
5	Viking II	15	7	3	5	18	24
6	Varhaug	15	6	5	4	5	23
7	Brodd	16	7	2	7	2	23
8	Stabæk II	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Staal Jørpeland	15	5	4	6	-7	19
10	Haugesund II	15	5	3	7	-5	18
11	Våg	16	5	1	10	-8	16
12	Hinna	15	4	4	7	-18	16
13	Åkra	16	4	2	10	-24	14
14	Odd II	15	3	4	8	-14	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.