Grenivikurvöllur · Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
Magni vs Fjolnir Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Magni and 2.63 for Fjolnir, a combined total of 4.89. That distribution gives Fjolnir the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Fjolnir to Win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
2.26 – 2.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.6%
- 1–25.9%
- 2–35.8%
- 1–35.1%
- 2–15.1%
Why the model likes this
Fjolnir away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fjolnir to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 35% / 18% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.26 goals for Magni and 2.63 for Fjolnir, a combined 4.89 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 83%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Recent form
Magni
Fjolnir
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Selfoss · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KFG · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-29T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Olafsiik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-24T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Haukar · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Magni · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Deild table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Selfoss | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Kári | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Fjolnir | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Vikingur Olafsiik | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 25 |
| 6 | Kormákur / Hvöt | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Dalvík / Reynir | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Magni | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 21 |
| 9 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Thróttur Vogar | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Hvíti riddarinn | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | KFG | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -29 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.