Mashujaa vs KMC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Mashujaa and 1.18 for KMC, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Mashujaa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Mashujaa or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Mashujaa win44%

Draw26%

KMC win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Mashujaa home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
KMC away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 meetings.

Recent form

Mashujaa

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Coastal Union · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tanzania Prisons · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs KMC · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Fountain Gate · 1-0 (W)
2026-06-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)

KMC

2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Simba · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mashujaa · 0-2 (L)
2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Namungo · 2-3 (L)
2026-06-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Coastal Union · 1-3 (L)
2026-06-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tabora United · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · Mashujaa 2-0 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)
2026-02-03T16:00:00.000Z · Mashujaa 0-1 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)
2025-06-18T13:00:00.000Z · Mashujaa 1-1 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)
2024-12-12T13:15:00.000Z · Mashujaa 0-0 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)
2024-05-08T13:00:00.000Z · Mashujaa 3-0 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)
2023-12-02T13:00:00.000Z · Mashujaa 2-3 KMC (Ligi kuu Bara)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.