South-Africa · 1st Division · Regular Season - 2913:00

20

Sunday, 10 May 2026

Richards Bay Sports Stadium · Analysis updated 23:57 UTC

Milford FC vs University of Pretoria Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.71 expected goals for Milford FC and 0.83 for University of Pretoria, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Milford FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Milford FC to Win

58.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.71 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Milford FC win58%
Draw24%
University of Pretoria win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–013.4%
  • 2–011.5%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–07.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Milford FC home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Milford FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 24% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.71 goals for Milford FC and 0.83 for University of Pretoria, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Milford FC

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Kruger United · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Siwelele · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Orlando Pirates · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Golden Arrows · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Magesi · 1-1 (D)

University of Pretoria

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1st Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kruger United3018841662
    2Cape Town City3015962254
    3Milford FC3016681654
    4Casric Stars30141061952
    5Hungry Lions30141061652
    6Highbury3012612-342
    7Upington City3010911239
    8Lerumo Lions3010911039
    9Venda FC309912-536
    10The Bees309813135
    11University of Pretoria3081111-435
    12Leicesterfield309714-1834
    13Gomora United FC306159-1133
    14Midlands Wanderers308913-1633
    15Black Leopards3061014-1228
    16Baroka FC304818-2320

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.