New England II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.54 expected goals for New England II and 0.83 for Philadelphia Union II, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives New England II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

New England II to Win

54.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

New England II win54%

Draw26%

Philadelphia Union II win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score44%

Correct score

1–014.3%
1–112.0%
2–011.0%
0–09.3%
2–19.2%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates New England II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 26% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.54 goals for New England II and 0.83 for Philadelphia Union II, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 44%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
New England II to Win is the headline pick at 54% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

New England II

Philadelphia Union II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

MLS Next Pro table

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#	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New England II	21	14	7	10	42
2	Columbus Crew II	21	14	7	4	39
3	New York RB II	23	12	11	7	38
4	Connecticut FC	21	12	9	3	34
5	New York City II	20	11	9	3	33
6	Toronto II	22	10	12	-5	30
7	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	12	-5	30
8	FC Cincinnati II	21	6	15	-23	16
1	Crown Legacy	22	17	5	24	48
2	Chattanooga	23	15	8	11	44
3	Chicago Fire II	22	12	10	11	36
4	Orlando City II	23	12	11	-1	35
5	Atlanta United II	22	10	12	9	34
6	Huntsville City	22	9	13	-7	29
7	Carolina Core	23	8	15	-8	26
8	Inter Miami II	20	2	18	-33	8
1	Portland Timbers II	22	15	7	4	45
2	Ventura County	22	14	8	17	41
3	Los Angeles FC II	21	11	10	1	35
4	Tacoma Defiance	22	11	11	-2	33
5	The Town	20	10	10	14	31
6	Real Monarchs	22	10	12	-11	26
7	Vancouver Whitecaps II	22	7	15	-21	19
1	Austin II	21	16	5	25	49
2	Houston Dynamo FC II	21	16	5	24	45
3	St. Louis City II	22	12	10	1	35
4	Minnesota United II	22	10	12	-5	30
5	North Texas	20	9	11	3	29
6	Sporting KC II	21	6	15	-26	19
7	Colorado Rapids II	22	3	19	-24	13
1	Crown Legacy	22	17	5	24	48
2	Chattanooga	23	15	8	11	44
3	New England II	21	14	7	10	42
4	Columbus Crew II	21	14	7	4	39
5	New York RB II	23	12	11	7	38
6	Chicago Fire II	22	12	10	11	36
7	Orlando City II	23	12	11	-1	35
8	Atlanta United II	22	10	12	9	34
9	Connecticut FC	21	12	9	3	34
10	New York City II	20	11	9	3	33
11	Toronto II	22	10	12	-5	30
12	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	12	-5	30
13	Huntsville City	22	9	13	-7	29
14	Carolina Core	23	8	15	-8	26
15	FC Cincinnati II	21	6	15	-23	16
16	Inter Miami II	20	2	18	-33	8
1	Austin II	21	16	5	25	49
2	Houston Dynamo FC II	21	16	5	24	45
3	Portland Timbers II	22	15	7	4	45
4	Ventura County	22	14	8	17	41
5	St. Louis City II	22	12	10	1	35
6	Los Angeles FC II	21	11	10	1	35
7	Tacoma Defiance	22	11	11	-2	33
8	The Town	20	10	10	14	31
9	Minnesota United II	22	10	12	-5	30
10	North Texas	20	9	11	3	29
11	Real Monarchs	22	10	12	-11	26
12	Sporting KC II	21	6	15	-26	19
13	Vancouver Whitecaps II	22	7	15	-21	19
14	Colorado Rapids II	22	3	19	-24	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.