Nový Jičín vs Stonava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Nový Jičín and 1.44 for Stonava, a combined total of 2.76. That distribution gives Stonava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Stonava or Draw

65.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Nový Jičín win35%

Draw25%

Stonava win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–112.0%
0–19.1%
1–28.7%
1–08.3%
2–17.9%

Why the model likes this

Stonava away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stonava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 35% / 25% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Nový Jičín and 1.44 for Stonava, a combined 2.76 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Nový Jičín

Stonava

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 4-2 (W)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petřvald na Moravě · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Havířov	29	19	2	8	38	59
2	Vratimov	29	17	3	9	15	54
3	Bospor Bohumín	29	15	8	6	28	53
4	Bílovec	29	15	8	6	14	53
5	Stonava	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Valašské Meziříčí	29	11	8	10	-4	41
7	Zabreh	30	9	12	9	3	39
8	Šumperk	29	9	12	8	-2	39
9	Opava II	30	11	5	14	-3	38
10	Frýdlant	30	9	11	10	-9	38
11	Jiskra Rýmařov	30	11	4	15	-13	37
12	Petřvald na Moravě	29	9	9	11	3	36
13	Nový Jičín	29	8	12	9	-5	36
14	Břidličná	30	7	10	13	-12	31
15	Pustá Polom	29	5	9	15	-23	24
16	Cesky Tesin	29	2	7	20	-41	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.