Australia · Npl Nsw U20 · Regular Season - 2509:45

43

Saturday, 25 July 2026

· Analysis updated 23:50 UTC

NWS Spirit U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.92 expected goals for NWS Spirit U20 and 1.74 for WS Wanderers U20, a combined total of 4.66. That distribution gives NWS Spirit U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.

Model pick

NWS Spirit U20 to Win

61.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.92 – 1.74

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

NWS Spirit U20 win62%
Draw17%
WS Wanderers U20 win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–17.0%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 3–25.9%
  • 4–15.0%

Why the model likes this

  • NWS Spirit U20 home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates NWS Spirit U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 17% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.92 goals for NWS Spirit U20 and 1.74 for WS Wanderers U20, a combined 4.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

NWS Spirit U20

  • 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Manly Utd U20 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T09:45:00.000Z · H vs Blacktown City U20 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Sydney Utd U20 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T09:45:00.000Z · H vs WS Wanderers U20 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T09:15:00.000Z · A vs UNSW U20 · 2-3 (L)

WS Wanderers U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Npl Nsw U20 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1APIA Leichhardt U202822334369
    2Sydney Utd U202818645060
    3Manly Utd U202815492449
    4NWS Spirit U202815491449
    5Marconi S. U202714672348
    6Sydney FC U202812971445
    7SD Raiders U202812511-141
    8Sutherland Sharks U2027124111040
    9Wollongong Wolves U20271089-338
    10Blacktown City U202711412-1337
    11WS Wanderers U202811215-835
    12UNSW U20279612-1833
    13St. George City U20288614-930
    14Rockdale Ilinden U20278514-2329
    15St George Saints U20283619-3815
    16Sydney Olympic U20280424-654

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.