Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Patronato and 1.18 for Gimnasia Jujuy, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Patronato the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Patronato or Draw

68.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Patronato win42%

Draw26%

Gimnasia Jujuy win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–112.5%
1–010.7%
0–18.9%
2–18.8%
0–07.6%

Why the model likes this

Patronato home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gimnasia Jujuy away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Patronato to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 26% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Patronato and 1.18 for Gimnasia Jujuy, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Patronato

2026-08-15T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Colon Santa Fe · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Colegiales · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-01T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Quilmes · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Midland · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-12T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia Y Tiro · 1-1 (D)

Gimnasia Jujuy

2026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tristan Suarez · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-05T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Quilmes · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Colegiales · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Atlético Güemes · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Chacarita Juniors · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.