Petrovac vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Petrovac and 1.18 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Petrovac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Petrovac or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Petrovac win44%

Draw26%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

FK Zalgiris Vilnius away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Petrovac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Petrovac and 1.18 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Petrovac

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · A vs HNK Hajduk Split · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HNK Hajduk Split · 2-5 (L)
2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 7-2 (W)
2026-07-27T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Hegelmann Litauen · 3-2 (W)
2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Tbilisi · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-16T17:00:00.000Z · Petrovac 1-2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2026-07-09T18:45:00.000Z · Petrovac 1-3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius (UEFA Europa Conference League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.