Kalevan Urheilupuisto · Analysis updated 02:42 UTC
PKKU vs JJK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for PKKU and 1.59 for JJK, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives PKKU the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
PKKU to Win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.59
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.1%
Why the model likes this
PKKU home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates PKKU to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 21% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for PKKU and 1.59 for JJK, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
PKKU
- 2026-08-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Turku II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs VJS · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tampere United · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs SalPa · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs VJS · 1-3 (L)
JJK
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkönen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampere United | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 41 |
| 2 | Rops | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | OLS | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | PKKU | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | SalPa | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| 6 | VJS | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | FC jazz | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | JJK | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | TPV | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | Inter Turku II | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 20 |
| 11 | KPV-j | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -40 | 12 |
| 12 | KuPS Akatemia | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -14 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.