· Analysis updated 05:45 UTC
Queretaro U21 vs Tigres UANL U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for Queretaro U21 and 0.86 for Tigres UANL U21, a combined total of 2.94. That distribution gives Queretaro U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
Queretaro U21 to Win
65.3% probability
Expected goals
2.07 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–011.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–07.9%
Why the model likes this
Queretaro U21 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Queretaro U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 20% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.07 goals for Queretaro U21 and 0.86 for Tigres UANL U21, a combined 2.94 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 51%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Queretaro U21
- 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tigres UANL U21 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Pachuca U21 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Club America U21 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Puebla U21 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-21T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Cruz Azul U21 · 1-1 (D)
Tigres UANL U21
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga MX U21 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Monterrey U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Puebla U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Juarez U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Queretaro U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Necaxa U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atlante U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.