Sweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Södra Svealand - 2018:00
RågsvedWDLDD

18:00 UTC

Friday, 4 September 2026

HaningeLDWWW

· Analysis updated 03:29 UTC

Rågsved vs Haninge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.36 expected goals for Rågsved and 1.92 for Haninge, a combined total of 4.29. That distribution gives Rågsved the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Rågsved to Win

48.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.36 – 1.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rågsved win48%
Draw20%
Haninge win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 3–15.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Rågsved home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Haninge away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rågsved to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 20% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.36 goals for Rågsved and 1.92 for Haninge, a combined 4.29 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Rågsved

  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Syrianska FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Farsta · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Forward · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-22T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Syrianska FC · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-06-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 0-2 (L)

Haninge

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
  • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Forward1610331233
2Nyköping1710251232
3Haninge171025932
4Sleipner17944231
5Farsta179351630
6Smedby179351130
7Rågsved16754826
8Fittja16727-123
9Örebro Syrianska16529-217
10Lindo FF175210-417
11Karlslund17458-717
12Syrianska FC16439-1315
13Eker Örebro174211-2714
14Nacka Iliria163211-1611

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.