Richmond Kickers vs Spokane Velocity Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.04 expected goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.58 for Spokane Velocity, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Spokane Velocity the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Spokane Velocity to Win

49.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Richmond Kickers win25%

Draw25%

Spokane Velocity win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.0%
0–111.5%
1–29.4%
0–29.1%
1–07.6%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Spokane Velocity to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 25% / 25% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.04 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.58 for Spokane Velocity, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Spokane Velocity to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Richmond Kickers

Spokane Velocity

2026-08-13T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Colorado Springs · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Fort Wayne · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-23T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Charlotte Independence · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Richmond Kickers · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-11T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Oakland Roots · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

USL League One table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	20	13	2	5	12	41
2	Charlotte Independence	19	12	3	4	16	39
3	Forward Madison	19	11	3	5	18	36
4	One Knoxville	19	11	3	5	12	36
5	Boise	21	10	4	7	2	34
6	Spokane Velocity	18	10	2	6	3	32
7	Alta	22	8	8	6	6	32
8	Chattanooga Red Wolves	17	9	1	7	6	28
9	Fort Wayne	19	7	6	6	3	27
10	Corpus Christi	20	6	8	6	-3	26
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	19	5	6	8	-4	21
12	Naples	19	6	2	11	-10	20
13	Westchester SC	19	5	4	10	1	19
14	Greenville Triumph	19	5	4	10	-11	19
15	Sarasota Paradise	19	5	3	11	-12	18
16	Richmond Kickers	19	5	3	11	-17	18
17	NY Cosmos	18	3	2	13	-22	11

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.