Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 814:30

14:30 UTC

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 02:43 UTC

Rokycany vs Komárov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Rokycany and 0.75 for Komárov, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Rokycany the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Rokycany or Draw

73.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rokycany win40%
Draw33%
Komárov win27%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

67%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score33%

Correct score

  • 0–017.4%
  • 1–017.4%
  • 0–113.0%
  • 1–113.0%
  • 2–08.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Rokycany home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Komárov away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rokycany to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 33% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.00 goals for Rokycany and 0.75 for Komárov, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Rokycany

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hořovicko · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-3 (L)

Komárov

  • 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Petřín Plzeň · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Milevsko · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Soběslav · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.