· Analysis updated 23:49 UTC
Scarborough Athletic vs Spennymoor Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.42 for Spennymoor Town, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Scarborough Athletic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Scarborough Athletic or Draw
64.9% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–17.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Scarborough Athletic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.42 for Spennymoor Town, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Scarborough Athletic or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Scarborough Athletic
Spennymoor Town
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National League - North table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Worksop Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | South Shields | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Oxford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Hebburn Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Brackley Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Spennymoor Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Harborough Town | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Merthyr Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Darlington 1883 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Hereford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Morecambe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Southport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | King's Lynn Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | AFC Telford United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Chorley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Marine | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Hednesford Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.