Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 2713:00

50

Wednesday, 17 June 2026

Airtel Stadium · Analysis updated 05:41 UTC

Singida Black Stars vs Dodoma Jiji Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Singida Black Stars and 0.82 for Dodoma Jiji, a combined total of 2.37. That distribution gives Singida Black Stars the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Singida Black Stars to Win

54.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.55 – 0.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Singida Black Stars win55%
Draw26%
Dodoma Jiji win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 1–014.5%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–19.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Dodoma Jiji away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Singida Black Stars to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 26% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Singida Black Stars and 0.82 for Dodoma Jiji, a combined 2.37 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 44%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Singida Black Stars

    Dodoma Jiji

    • 2026-08-14T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Pamba Jiji · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Azam · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-06-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mbeya City · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs JKT Tanzania · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-06-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Singida Black Stars · 0-5 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ligi kuu Bara table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Singida Black Stars110033
    2Young Africans110023
    3Geita Gold110013
    4Mashujaa110013
    5Azam101001
    6Polisi Tanzania101001
    7Pamba Jiji101001
    8Dodoma Jiji101001
    9Simba000000
    10Kagera Sugar000000
    11JKT Tanzania000000
    12Tabora United000000
    13Mbeya City1001-10
    14Coastal Union1001-10
    15Namungo1001-20
    16Fountain Gate1001-30

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.