· Analysis updated 00:49 UTC
Soroksar vs Tiszakecske FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Soroksar and 0.75 for Tiszakecske FC, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.
Model pick
Soroksar to Win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.5%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–111.7%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 26% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Soroksar and 0.75 for Tiszakecske FC, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 42%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Model confidence
Soroksar to Win is the headline pick at 56% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Soroksar
Tiszakecske FC
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Gyirmot SE | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Kecskeméti TE | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Fehérvár FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Tiszakecske FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Szentlőrinc SE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Csakvar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | BVSC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.