· Analysis updated 05:01 UTC
Sturm Graz W vs Südburgenland W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Sturm Graz W and 1.06 for Südburgenland W, a combined total of 3.57. That distribution gives Sturm Graz W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.
Model pick
Sturm Graz W to Win
69.0% probability
Expected goals
2.51 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
31%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 3–07.5%
Why the model likes this
Südburgenland W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sturm Graz W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 17% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.51 goals for Sturm Graz W and 1.06 for Südburgenland W, a combined 3.57 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Sturm Graz W
Südburgenland W
- 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-10T10:45:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Salzburg W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | First Vienna W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria Wien W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | St. Pölten W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | LASK W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | SK Rapid W | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Südburgenland W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Rheindorf Altach W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.