Austria · Frauenliga · Regular Season - 612:00

12:00 UTC

Sunday, 13 September 2026

· Analysis updated 04:41 UTC

Südburgenland W vs Austria Wien W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Südburgenland W and 1.25 for Austria Wien W, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Austria Wien W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Austria Wien W to Win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.50 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Südburgenland W win15%
Draw30%
Austria Wien W win55%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

85%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score28%

Correct score

  • 0–121.7%
  • 0–017.4%
  • 0–213.6%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–08.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Austria Wien W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 15% / 30% / 55% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.50 goals for Südburgenland W and 1.25 for Austria Wien W, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 26% and both teams to score at 28%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.

  • Model confidence

    Austria Wien W to Win is the headline pick at 55% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Südburgenland W

  • 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T10:45:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna W · 0-3 (L)

Austria Wien W

  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hajduk Split W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-03-25T18:30:00.000Z · Südburgenland W 0-5 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
  • 2025-09-21T12:00:00.000Z · Südburgenland W 0-7 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
  • 2022-03-27T11:00:00.000Z · Südburgenland W 2-5 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)
  • 2021-09-11T11:30:00.000Z · Südburgenland W 1-7 Austria Wien W (Frauenliga)

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Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.