· Analysis updated 02:24 UTC
Teningen vs Essingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Teningen and 2.50 for Essingen, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Essingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.
Model pick
Essingen to Win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
41%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–37.2%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–25.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Essingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 22% / 19% / 59% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Teningen and 2.50 for Essingen, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Essingen to Win is the headline pick at 59% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Teningen
Essingen
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Backnang | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Reutlingen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Essingen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | TSV Singen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Oberachern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | FC 08 Villingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Bahlinger SC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Nöttingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Teningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | CFR Pforzheim | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | FV Ravensburg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Holzhausen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Young Boys Reutlingen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Karlsruhe II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Türkspor Neckarsulm | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Normannia Gmünd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Balingen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.