Denmark · 2. Division · Regular Season - 811:00

11:00 UTC

Sunday, 20 September 2026

BrabrandLLL

· Analysis updated 03:30 UTC

Thisted FC vs Brabrand Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Thisted FC and 1.29 for Brabrand, a combined total of 3.03. That distribution gives Thisted FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Thisted FC to Win

48.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.29

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Thisted FC win48%
Draw24%
Brabrand win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–27.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Thisted FC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Thisted FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.74 goals for Thisted FC and 1.29 for Brabrand, a combined 3.03 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Thisted FC

  • 2026-08-15T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Aabybro · 9-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 2-1 (W)

Brabrand

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    2. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1VSK Århus330079
    2Middelfart321077
    3Nykobing FC321057
    4Roskilde312015
    5Naestved312015
    6Fremad Amager3111-14
    7HIK3111-14
    8Skive3102-13
    9FA 20003102-23
    10B 933102-33
    11Thisted FC3003-60
    12Brabrand3003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.