Stadio Olimpico di Torino · Analysis updated 04:22 UTC
Torino vs Juventus Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Torino and 1.90 for Juventus, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Juventus the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.
Model pick
Juventus to Win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.9%
- 1–36.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventus to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 20% / 22% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Torino and 1.90 for Juventus, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Juventus to Win is the headline pick at 58% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Torino
Juventus
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie A table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.