Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · Group C - 515:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 00:53 UTC

Trutnov vs Slavia Hradec Králové Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Trutnov and 2.00 for Slavia Hradec Králové, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Slavia Hradec Králové the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Slavia Hradec Králové to Win

49.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Trutnov win29%
Draw22%
Slavia Hradec Králové win49%

Double chance 1X

51%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–36.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Slavia Hradec Králové away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Hradec Králové to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 29% / 22% / 49% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Trutnov and 2.00 for Slavia Hradec Králové, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Trutnov

    Slavia Hradec Králové

    • 2026-08-15T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Svitavy · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dvůr Králové · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-01T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Trutnov · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-02-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Trutnov · 0-0 (D)
    • 2025-06-14T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Horní Ředice · 4-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.