Tuggeranong United vs Canberra White Eagles Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.18 for Canberra White Eagles, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Tuggeranong United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Tuggeranong United or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Tuggeranong United win44%

Draw26%

Canberra White Eagles win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Tuggeranong United home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Canberra White Eagles away threat
Scored in 8 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Tuggeranong United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Tuggeranong United and 1.18 for Canberra White Eagles, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Tuggeranong United

2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Brindabella · 6-0 (W)
2026-08-05T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Queanbeyan City · 2-4 (L)
2026-08-01T04:30:00.000Z · A vs Canberra Olympic · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cooma Tigers FC · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-22T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Canberra White Eagles · 2-1 (W)

Canberra White Eagles

2026-08-15T05:00:00.000Z · A vs O'Connor Knights · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-09T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Canberra Juventus · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-25T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Brindabella · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-22T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Tuggeranong United · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-11T04:30:00.000Z · A vs Canberra Olympic · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-22T09:30:00.000Z · Tuggeranong United 2-1 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL)
2026-04-24T09:30:00.000Z · Tuggeranong United 4-2 Canberra White Eagles (Capital Territory NPL)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.