England · Non League Premier - Southern South · Regular Season - 614:00
UxbridgeDWW

14:00 UTC

Monday, 31 August 2026

· Analysis updated 03:30 UTC

Uxbridge vs Wimborne Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Uxbridge and 0.30 for Wimborne Town, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Uxbridge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 21% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 23%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws roughly 26% of the time.

Model pick

Uxbridge to Win

73.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.75 – 0.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Uxbridge win74%
Draw21%
Wimborne Town win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

26%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams to score21%

Correct score

  • 1–022.5%
  • 2–019.7%
  • 0–012.9%
  • 3–011.5%
  • 1–16.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Uxbridge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 21% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for Uxbridge and 0.30 for Wimborne Town, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 21%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 23%.

  • Model confidence

    Uxbridge to Win is the headline pick at 74% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Uxbridge

    Wimborne Town

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.