Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1814:00
Växjö WLWLWD

14:00 UTC

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Hammarby WWWDWL

Visma Arena · Analysis updated 00:49 UTC

Växjö W vs Hammarby W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.82 expected goals for Växjö W and 2.36 for Hammarby W, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Hammarby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws roughly 28% of the time.

Model pick

Hammarby W to Win

71.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.82 – 2.36

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Växjö W win11%
Draw17%
Hammarby W win72%

Double chance 1X

28%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

89%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 0–211.6%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–39.1%
  • 1–18.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Hammarby W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hammarby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 11% / 17% / 72% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.82 goals for Växjö W and 2.36 for Hammarby W, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Växjö W

    Hammarby W

    • 2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus W · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Apolonia Fier W · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 5-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrköping W · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.