Marschweg-Stadion · Analysis updated 01:49 UTC
VfB Oldenburg vs Eimsbütteler TV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.10 expected goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.31 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined total of 4.41. That distribution gives VfB Oldenburg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.
Model pick
VfB Oldenburg to Win
72.9% probability
Expected goals
3.10 – 1.31
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.6%
- 4–16.1%
- 3–06.0%
- 2–05.8%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates VfB Oldenburg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 14% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.10 goals for VfB Oldenburg and 1.31 for Eimsbütteler TV, a combined 4.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 69%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
VfB Oldenburg to Win is the headline pick at 73% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
VfB Oldenburg
Eimsbütteler TV
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Oldenburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Weiche Flensburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Phönix Lübeck | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Schöningen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Todesfelde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | HSC Hannover | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Bremer SV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | St. Pauli II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.