Moldova · Liga 1 · Relegation Group - 714:00

11

Friday, 24 April 2026

· Analysis updated 01:51 UTC

Victoria Bardar vs Univer Comrat Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Victoria Bardar and 2.35 for Univer Comrat, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Univer Comrat the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Univer Comrat to Win

55.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.55 – 2.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Victoria Bardar win25%
Draw20%
Univer Comrat win56%

Double chance 1X

45%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 1–36.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 2–15.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Victoria Bardar home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Univer Comrat to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 25% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Victoria Bardar and 2.35 for Univer Comrat, a combined 3.90 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Victoria Bardar

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Stăuceni · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Făleşti · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oguzsport · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FCM Ungheni · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-04-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Univer Comrat · 1-1 (D)

Univer Comrat

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.