Stadium Dobrany · Analysis updated 23:56 UTC
Viktoria Plzeň W vs Sparta Praha W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 3.72 for Sparta Praha W, a combined total of 6.06. That distribution gives Sparta Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 37% of the time.
Model pick
Sparta Praha W to Win
63.5% probability
Expected goals
2.33 – 3.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.5%
- 2–45.1%
- 1–34.7%
- 2–24.4%
- 1–44.4%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 22% / 15% / 64% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.33 goals for Viktoria Plzeň W and 3.72 for Sparta Praha W, a combined 6.06 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 93% and both teams to score at 87%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.
Model confidence
Sparta Praha W to Win is the headline pick at 64% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Viktoria Plzeň W
Sparta Praha W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovácko W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovan Liberec W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Horní Heršpice W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Baník Ostrava W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Prague Raptors W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 8 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.