· Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Welling United vs Stanway Rovers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Welling United and 0.96 for Stanway Rovers, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Welling United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.
Model pick
Welling United to Win
70.2% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 0.96
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–17.8%
Why the model likes this
Welling United home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stanway Rovers away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Welling United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Welling United and 0.96 for Stanway Rovers, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Welling United
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Leatherhead · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Folkestone Invicta · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 3-2 (W)
Stanway Rovers
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ramsgate · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cheshunt · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Heybridge Swifts · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tilbury · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Isthmian table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Dartford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Leatherhead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Dulwich Hamlet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Enfield Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Welling United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Burgess Hill Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Aveley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Lewes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Ramsgate | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Brentwood Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Maldon & Tiptree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.