Western Sydney Wanderers U23 vs St. George Saints Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 and 1.53 for St. George Saints, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Western Sydney Wanderers U23 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 or Draw

65.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 win43%

Draw23%

St. George Saints win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.2%
2–18.8%
1–27.8%
2–26.7%
1–06.7%

Why the model likes this

St. George Saints away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Western Sydney Wanderers U23 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 and 1.53 for St. George Saints, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

Market	Selection	Odds	Bookmaker
Match Result	Home	2.15	10Bet
Match Result	Draw	3.70	10Bet
Match Result	Away	2.70	10Bet
Goals	Over 2.5	1.45	10Bet
Goals	Under 2.5	2.55	10Bet
Goals	Over 3.5	2.20	10Bet
Goals	Under 3.5	1.62	10Bet
Goals	Over 4.5	3.65	10Bet
Goals	Under 4.5	1.25	10Bet
BTTS	Yes	1.40	10Bet
BTTS	No	2.60	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Draw	1.35	10Bet
Double Chance	Home/Away	1.18	10Bet
Double Chance	Draw/Away	1.65	10Bet

Recent form

Western Sydney Wanderers U23

St. George Saints

2026-08-15T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23 · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-01T08:30:00.000Z · H vs SD Raiders · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sydney FC U23 · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Rockdale City Suns · 1-6 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

New South Wales NPL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	APIA Leichhardt Tigers	28	20	4	4	29	64
2	Sydney United	28	19	3	6	21	60
3	Marconi Stallions	27	17	4	6	26	55
4	Sutherland Sharks	27	13	4	10	9	43
5	Rockdale City Suns	27	12	4	11	6	40
6	Manly United	28	10	8	10	-2	38
7	SD Raiders	28	11	5	12	-5	38
8	NWS Spirit	28	11	4	13	-2	37
9	Sydney FC U23	28	10	7	11	-6	37
10	St George City FA	28	10	7	11	-13	37
11	Western Sydney Wanderers U23	28	10	5	13	7	35
12	Wollongong Wolves	27	9	5	13	-8	32
13	Blacktown City	27	8	7	12	-4	31
14	UNSW	27	9	4	14	-7	31
15	St. George Saints	28	7	3	18	-22	24
16	Sydney Olympic	28	6	4	18	-29	22

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.