· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC
Whitehawk vs Chatham Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.41 expected goals for Whitehawk and 1.75 for Chatham Town, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Chatham Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Chatham Town to Win
45.6% probability
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–26.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chatham Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 31% / 23% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.41 goals for Whitehawk and 1.75 for Chatham Town, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Chatham Town to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Whitehawk
Chatham Town
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Isthmian table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Dartford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Leatherhead | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Dulwich Hamlet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Enfield Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Welling United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Chatham Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | St Albans City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Burgess Hill Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Aveley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Lewes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Ramsgate | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Brentwood Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Maldon & Tiptree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Cray Wanderers | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Wingate & Finchley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Cheshunt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Whyteleafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.