Turkey · 2. Lig · Kırmızı - 3212:00

13

Sunday, 12 April 2026

Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı · Analysis updated 06:45 UTC

1461 Trabzon FK vs Isparta 32 Spor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 1.84 for Isparta 32 Spor, a combined total of 3.15. That distribution gives Isparta 32 Spor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Isparta 32 Spor to Win

49.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.84

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

1461 Trabzon FK win28%
Draw23%
Isparta 32 Spor win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 2–16.8%

Why the model likes this

  • 1461 Trabzon FK home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Isparta 32 Spor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 28% / 23% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.32 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 1.84 for Isparta 32 Spor, a combined 3.15 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 61% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

1461 Trabzon FK

  • 2026-04-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Menemen FK · 4-5 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kırklarelispor · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Isparta 32 Spor · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Adanaspor · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-03-28T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor · 0-1 (L)

Isparta 32 Spor

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Batman Petrolspor3625835383
    2Muğlaspor3621963272
    3Elazığspor3621694569
    4Adana 01 FK36191072067
    5Şanlıurfaspor3619892065
    6Ankaragücü3618991163
    7İnegölspor36161282360
    8İskenderunspor3616812656
    9Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı36131581054
    10Ankaraspor361313101052
    1124 Erzincanspor3615615651
    12Kastamonuspor3611916-1242
    13Karacabey Belediyespor3611817-941
    14Altınordu3681117-2635
    15Erbaaspor3610719-2134
    16Beykoz Anadolu368622-2930
    17Kepezspor365823-4523
    18Karaman FK364923-5621
    19Bucaspor 1928364824-3817
    1Bursaspor3425546880
    2Mardin 19693422574271
    3Muş Sport Klübü3421764770
    4Aliağa FAŞ3421674969
    5 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor3421494967
    6Isparta 32 Spor3418973463
    7Güzide Gebzespor34161082558
    8Menemen FK3415613651
    9Ankara Demirspor3414713049
    1068 Aksaray Belediyespor34111491447
    111461 Trabzon FK3413813347
    12Arnavutköy Belediyespor3413714446
    13Fethiyespor341111121144
    14Kırklarelispor349916-536
    15Somaspor348620-2730
    16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu334326-7512
    17Adanaspor343130-1421
    18Yeni Malatyaspor330231-103-52

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.